While he was still a candidate for the Republican nomination, Donald Trump announced a shock measurement which remains one of the most emblematic of his program: he promised to build a wall on the Mexican border to prevent illegal immigrants from entering the United States . Later, during the campaign, he spoke out against the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and promised to deport 11 million illegal Mexicans situation in the United States.
The Mexican newspaper Sin embargo, relayed by Courrier International, summarized in one sentence the feeling of the country after the surprise election : "The worst years to come."
"A terrible catastrophe 'feared in Mexico
The impact on the Mexican economy, already weakened, was immediate. "The course of the peso was down to levels not seen for 20 years, it lost 20% of its value after the announcement of the election of Donald Trump," noted Gaspard Estrada, Executive Director of the Policy Observatory Latin America and the Caribbean. "The uncertainty about foreign policy that Trump wants to implement in Latin America creates economic uncertainty does not allow countries in the short term, to resume the path of growth", summarizes the expert.
"There is a huge question about what Donald Trump plans to make the border between Mexico and the United States. Trade between the two countries is very important. If the border was blocked, it would be a terrible disaster on both sides" says Christian Girault, emeritus research director at the CNRS associated with the Centre for research and documentation on Latin America.
Cuba fears a brake on the reconciliation
The Cubans themselves, already fear seeing dashed reconciliation efforts between their country and the United States initiated by the Obama administration. Coincidence or provocation, as a first response, the government of Raul Castro announced in the State of the upcoming release of new military exercises "strategic" to deal with a possible invasion. If these maneuvers are not exceptional, the timing could augur a clenching of the relationship between the former enemies of the Cold War when the Republican come to power in January.
Donald Trump had initially supported the thaw between the two countries, but once in the countryside, he posted the reserves, regretting that Obama has nothing obtained in exchange for easing the embargo made by Washington. Last month, he even said he would do "everything to a solid agreement" with Havana, and suggesting a brake in the normalization of relations between the two countries.
"No time to waste"
In Venezuela , "the triumph of the Republican candidate 'and its racist and nationalist offer' seemed little doubt as the working class is suffering", said the editor of the site Aporrea Chavez. "The Venezuela is in full economic crisis and total social with a major confrontation between the government and the opposition have committed a semblance of dialogue. The country is on the edge of the uprising. President Obama had a very harsh position on this subject but we do not know that of Donald Trump. should there be direct clashes, he intervene? the United States have an interest in not doing so, "says Christian Girault.
The fear of too much meddling in certain countries coexists with an abandonment in others. This is the case of Colombia, where the population has rejected a historic peace agreement to terminate fifty-two years of conflict with the Revolutionary Armed Forces . "Colombia is the best ally of the United States, there is a military and political alliance, put it in question would be a mistake of the government Trump," the director of research at CNRS.
"All Latin American countries have a desire to create a dialogue with Trump administration, but with whom? It is not known, insists Gaspard Estrada. This expectation and the uncertainties on the policy of Donald Trump penalize all the region that has no time to lose. Latin America needs to get the machine to develop his business. "
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