During his election campaign to ultraprotectionnistes accents, Donald Trump has mentioned that on very rare occasions the African continent or in very cartoonish and clumsy words. Somali pirates? "I eradiquerai the surface of the earth. I will do so soon they will have no chance to survive." The South Africa ? "I love Nelson Mandela but South Africa is a nest damn criminals ready to explode." Consequence of this ignorance of the issues and problems of the African continent "Africa could drag down the list of foreign policy priorities of the administration of Donald Trump," says Peter Vale, a professor at the University of Johannesburg, in an article published on the website the Conversation .
For this specialist, Donald Trump - if it looks a little bit to Africa - will manage the continent as it manages its business. "As a good businessman, it will require a return on investment. Yet few African countries are able to assure him. His response might then be that of a reality show presenter (Trump hosted the reality television show "the Apprentice ", note: eject all candidates who would not fall in line."
"A decline in aid to Africa"
Some African countries did not call to be abandoned by the United States. Under the Obama presidency, the country has significantly increased its development aid, from $ 5 billion in 2007 to $ 8.5 billion per year today.
Like Malawi, where $ 700 million was spent by the US development agency (USAID) in the last five years, many depend significantly on the financial support to develop their health, education or agriculture. But Peter Vale is convinced: "There will be a decrease in aid to Africa from the United States."
Donald Trump could also renegotiate AGOA (Africa Growth and Opportunity Act), which allows 39 African countries to be exempt from export taxes to the United States. Under the Obama presidency, this free trade agreement was used as an indirect tool for promoting human rights. Swaziland has for example been excluded in 2015 because of the repressive nature of the monarchy. But it could be abolished, Trump has repeatedly stated his aversion to such agreements, namely quote without AGOA.
Security climate: No response to key issues
Sign of a possible redistribution of the cards, it is the heads of states with which Barack Obama was the most indelicate who welcomed the first victory of Donald Trump. The Burundi Pierre Nkurunziza has tweeted: "Your victory is victory for all Americans, "followed closely by the Congolese Joseph Kabila , satisfied with this surprise election.
Mr. @realDonaldTrump, on behalf of the people of Burundi, we warmly congratulate you. Your Victory is the Victory of all Americans.— Pierre Nkurunziza (@pnkurunziza) November 9, 2016
Analysis of the columnist of the Guinean news website Djely is sharp: "It may be that small dictators of the continent will have less trouble to do with the new president that Americans have chosen: a fan of President Vladimir Putin promises to normalize relations with North Korea. "
Another concern: the security aspect. The speech of Donald Trump is very ambivalent. If he says he wants to "kill terrorists" and so reveals a greater involvement of the United States against Nigerians Boko Haram , the Sahel declination of the group Islamic State (AQIM) or Somali Shebab he said also ready to disengage the US military battlefields abroad. Although this scenario seems highly unlikely, the future tenant of the White House has no detailed military policy in Africa during his campaign.
Finally, the climate-septic character of Donald Trump that fear Africans. The continent hardest hit by climate change. Severe droughts and floods are already taking their toll. The non-involvement of the United States in resolving this major problem could be catastrophic.
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