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| Jean-Luc Mélenchon runs for the legislative elections in Marseille (here in early May) |
A few days before the first round of legislative elections, the French left is threatened to be reduced to pain in the new Assembly. Between a fragmented Socialist Party and a frustrated France losing momentum, projections of the number of pink or red deputies in the National Assembly darken.
Today there are 284 Socialist deputies. This figure could be divided by nine in the next Assembly, according to several polls. The majority party is on the eve of a historic defeat. The unit has shattered and everyone is playing their score.
There are those who want to enter the presidential majority, like Manuel Valls, those who want to be " autonomous but constructive ", according to the official line, and then those who want to oppose the president, already thinking of the after, like Benoît Hamon, who will launch a movement on July 1st .
The strategy of Jean-Luc Mélenchon, however, has the merit of clarity: no alliance with either the socialists or the communists. But it is sometimes misunderstood on the ground. This hegemonic will on the left could prove to be a loser for all, deplored Bernard Cazeneuve: " This division will sterilize land by electing the right and the extreme right, " predicts the former Socialist Prime Minister. " It's the game of burnt earth," regrets a communist leader.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon rejects criticism and considers legitimized by his score of 19.6% in the presidential election. Bastien Lachaud of France insoumise wants to believe that " the Assembly that will come out of the polls will not be the one anticipated by the polls ".
The movement is currently credited with about 12% of votes, far from the 19.6% collected by Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the presidential election. The Communist Party, for its part, believes that paradoxically it will have more deputies than in 2012. The party hopes "between 12 and 15 deputies", against 7 now.
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